Two New Polls Show NC Gov. McCrory Within 1 Point of Atty. General Cooper Leading Up to Final Debate Tonight on WRAL Economic Impact of HB2 Only 0.1% of State GDP Be sure to tune in for the final gubernatorial debate tonight on WRAL at 7 pm. The debate will include, for the
[More…]
Two New Polls Show NC Gov. McCrory Within 1 Point of Atty. General Cooper Leading Up to Final Debate Tonight on WRAL
Economic Impact of HB2 Only 0.1% of State GDP
Be sure to tune in for the final gubernatorial debate tonight on WRAL at 7 pm. The debate will include, for the first time, Libertarian Lon Cecil, who will join Republican Governor Pat McCrory and his Democratic challenger Attorney General Roy Cooper.
WRAL posted a thoughtful list of seven contentions issues, like the coal ash spill and HB2, about which we can expect a political fireworks display. WRAL also posted valuable information on September 21, 2016 on the economic impact of HB2 in a post titled, Cancellation over HB2 make headlines but barely dent NC economy.
WRAL reported that although the financial losses of the legislation totaled $505 million, that was only 0.1% of the state’s $510 billion GDP. Perhaps the minimal economic impact of the controversial LGBT-friendly legislation explains why two new statewide polls of likely voters show a positive trend in Governor Pat McCrory’s race for a second term.
According to a new CNN/ORC poll of likely voters in North Carolina, conducted October 10-15, 2016, North Carolina’s embattled Republican governor has clawed his way back to within one point of his Democratic challenger, Attorney General Roy Cooper, after trailing in almost all statewide voter opinion surveys throughout the election year.
Among likely voters, Cooper leads McCrory by 49% to 48%. That is a major shift in McCrory’s favor since the August CNN/ORC poll, in which McCrory trailed Cooper by six points (Cooper 52%; McCrory 46%).
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 also found Gov. Pat McCrory with 48% of likely voters, while challenger Roy Cooper received 49%.
The source of Governor McCrory’s favorable shift among voters can be seen by comparing the CNN/ORC poll results for October to the August survey. Included among the groups who now see McCrory in a more favorable light are Independent voters. Independent voters, who now favor McCrory by 51% to 44%, favored Cooper in the August survey by 50% to 48%.
Expect tonight’s debate to be combative, as both major party candidates are likely prepared for a momentum changing zinger or two.
– END –
Thanks for reading JDPR TrendLines
John N. Davis
Need a Political Speaker? If you would like a sensible summary of the status of federal and state elections, go here to check John Davis’ availability.
Subscribe to the John Davis Political Report and JDPR TrendLines here.